News

Odds of a Triple Crown winner slim

Odds of a Triple Crown winner slim

CALIFORNIA CHROME:Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner California Chrome pauses as he is hot walked by exercise rider Willie Delgado after jogging at Belmont Park, Monday, June 2, in Elmont, N.Y. California Chrome will attempt to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978 when he races in the 146th running of the Belmont Stakes on Saturday. Photo: Associated Press/Julie Jacobson

AURORA, Colo. (AP) — Here’s a message to horse lovers and dreamers out there: This will not happen to you. Well, almost certainly not.

For all the buzz California Chrome’s feel-good run at the Triple Crown is generating for horse racing, his too-good-to-be-true story has virtually no chance of repeating itself, according to the numbers.

Byron Rogers, whose business is scientifically analyzing genetic makeup of racehorses, puts the odds at 50,000-to-1 against a horse with the strength and stamina of a California Chrome ever showing up again among the 21,000 or so thoroughbred foals born each year.

It’s the sort of horse that shows up maybe once every three years, but even then doesn’t always find his way into the spotlight because success requires a magic mix of the right owner, trainer and opportunity.

Recent Headlines

in Local

Benedictine University Holds Q/A For Soon-to-be Former Students

college

University officials say traditional program has more than 500 students

in Local

Illini Basketball Coming to Springfield’s PCCC in 2015

university illinois

The move is being made due to construction at the State Farm Center.

in Local

Minimum Wage Hike Supporters Take Credit for Early Voting Spike

money

Early voting is up in Illinois over the last mid-term election, and a group supporting the minimum wage increase is claiming some of the credit.

in Local

Iles School Locked Down Due To 14th Street Shooting

gun

Iles School was locked down Thursday afternoon after a shooting involving multiple people.